alternativeАльтернативная энергетика и экология (ISJAEE)Alternative Energy and Ecology (ISJAEE)1608-8298Международный издательский дом научной периодики "Спейс10.15518/isjaee.2024.05.068-092alternative-2408Research ArticleX. ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ АСПЕКТЫ АЭЭ 24. Экономические аспектыX. ECONOMIC ASPECTS OF AEE 24. Economic AspectsПереработка отходов возобновляемой энергетикиRenewable energy waste recyclinghttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-5287-4397ЖданеевО. В.ZhdaneevO. V.

Жданеев Олег Валерьевич -  ведущий научный сотрудник,   Профессор высшей нефтяной школы, доктор технических наук  

628011, Российская Федерация, г. Ханты-Мансийск, ул. Чехова, 16

119571, г. Москва, вн. тер. г. муниципальный округ Тропарево-Никулино, проспект Вернадского, д. 82, стр. 1 

119991, ГСП-1, Москва, Ленинский проспект, 29 

Zhdaneev O. V. -  Leading Researcher, Professor of the Higher Oil School, Yugra State University; Doctor of Technical Sciences 

628011, Russian Federation, Khanty-Mansiysk, st. Chekhova, 16 

119571, Moscow, ext. ter. Troparevo-Nikulino municipal district, Vernadskogo Avenue, 82, building 1 

119991, GSP-1, Moscow, Leninsky Prospekt, 29 

 

Zhdaneev@rosenergo.gov.ruАлешкевичТ. В.AleshkevichT. V.

Алешкевич Татьяна Владимировна - руководитель проекта 

121099, Москва, Новинский бульвар, 13/4

Aleshkevich Tatyana Vladimirovna - Project Manager 

121099, Moscow, Novinsky Boulevard, 13/4 

aleshkevich@oscpro.ruВысшая нефтяная школа ФГБОУ ВО «Югорский государственный университет»; Кафедра стратегического предпринимательства и инноваций ФГБОУ ВО «Российская академия народного хозяйства и государственной службы при Президенте Российской Федерации»; ФГБУН Институт нефтехимического синтеза им. А. В. Топчиева Российской академии наукРоссияHigher Petroleum School of the Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education «Yugra State University»; Department of Strategic Entrepreneurship and Innovation, Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education «Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation»; Federal State Budgetary Institution of Science Institute of Petrochemical Synthesis named after. A. V. Topchiev Russian Academy of SciencesRussian FederationАО «Центр эксплуатационных услуг»РоссияJSC «Center for Operational Services»Russian Federation202409062024056892Copyright © Международный издательский дом научной периодики "Спейс, 20242024Международный издательский дом научной периодики "СпейсМеждународный издательский дом научной периодики "Спейсhttps://www.isjaee.com/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.isjaee.com/jour/article/view/2408

К 2050 году в мире будет накоплено до 60-70 млн тонн отслуживших фотоэлектрических модулей (ФЭМ), 43,4 млн тонн лопастей ВЭУ и до 1 млн тонн литиевых аккумуляторов. Существующие технологии и производственные мощности не способны переработать данные объемы, поскольку готовность большинства используемых технологий оценивается как TRL3 – TRL8 и их экономическая эффективность ниже уровня рентабельности. Целью данной работы является обоснование необходимости и расчет величины государственной поддержки для развития технологий переработки отходов ВИЭ. Определено, что величина экономических потерь, при отсутствии переработки, к 2050 году составит до 215 млрд долл., в том числе по регионам-лидерам ВИЭ: в Китае 81 млрд долл., в ЕС 42 млрд долл., в США 26 млрд долл. Показано региональное распределение объема отходов с группировкой по уровню цен на электроэнергию: 30% отходов в странах с наивысшими тарифами на энергию, преимущественно в Европе, 20% в регионах со средней ценой, включая всю Северную Америку, 50% в регионах с минимальной ценой – большинство стран Азии. Получена динамика прироста количества патентов по выбранным МПК за период 2000-2024, определены страны-лидеры. Показано, что эффект от господдержки переработки будет получен в двух отраслях: во-первых, сформируется экономически эффективная отрасль переработки отходов ВИЭ, во-вторых, увеличится доступность дефицитных материалов для производителей ВИЭ.

By 2050, the world will have accumulated up to 60-70 million tons of used photovoltaic modules (PVMs), 43,4 million tons of wind turbine blades and up to 1 million tons of lithium batteries. Existing technologies and production capacities are not capable of processing these volumes, since the readiness of most of the technologies used is assessed as TRL3 - TRL8 and their economic efficiency is below the profitability level. The purpose of this work is to substantiate the need and calculate the amount of state support for the development of technologies for processing renewable energy waste. It has been determined that the amount of economic losses, in the absence of processing, will amount to up to $215 billion by 2050, including in the leading regions of renewable energy sources: in China $81 billion, in the EU $42 billion, in the USA $26 billion. The regional distribution of waste volume is shown, grouped by energy price level: 30% of waste in countries with the highest energy tariffs, mainly in Europe, 20% in regions with an average price, including all of North America, 50% in regions with the lowest price - the majority Asian countries. The dynamics of the increase in the number of patents for the selected IPCs for the period 2000-2024 was obtained, and the leading countries were identified. It is shown that the effect of state support for recycling will be obtained in two industries: firstly, a cost-effective industry for processing renewable energy waste will be formed, and secondly, the availability of scarce materials for renewable energy producers will increase.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.